| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.4% | 78% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| logistic | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Katerina Siniakova | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1655 | 1897 |
| Surface Elo | 1655 | 1897 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 34 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Naomi Osaka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Ann Li | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Katerina Siniakova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Anna Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Katerina Siniakova |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Elina Svitolina | 1 - 0 | Katerina Siniakova |
| 06 Mar 2024 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Katerina Siniakova |
| 15 Jan 2018 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Katerina Siniakova |
| 28 Aug 2017 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Katerina Siniakova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |