| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.9% | 49% | +3.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1579 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1579 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 40 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Chazal, Maxime | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | Carlo Alberto Caniato |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |