| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 64% | -11.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.8% | 62.1% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Valentin Vacherot | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1877 | 1795 |
| Surface Elo | 1877 | 1795 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 10 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Bu Yunchaokete | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Luca Van Assche | 2 - 1 | Valentin Vacherot |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |