OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ England Premier League · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Crystal Palace 0.80 1 - 3 1.80 Liverpool
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.9%62%-6.6%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 79.3%85%-5.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 72.2%80%-7.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.1%41%+10.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson24.7%24.5%50.8%
xgboost21.0%22.4%56.7%
logistic16.0%25.2%58.8%
Inputs the models saw
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
Elo (pre-match)16341794
Surface Elo16341794
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.80
Form trend0.500.30
Season points per game0.751.50
Season goals for / game0.751.00
Season goals against / game2.501.25
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Crystal Palace: last 5
05 NovHHoffenheim1 - 1D
03 NovANewport County2 - 1W
31 OctATottenham0 - 2L
31 OctATottenham0 - 2L
28 OctAFulham1 - 0W
Liverpool: last 5
04 NovAFenerbahce2 - 3L
01 NovHArsenal0 - 1L
01 NovHArsenal0 - 1L
28 OctHChelsea1 - 1D
25 OctHBrighton2 - 0W
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Liverpool3 - 1Crystal Palace
27 Sep 2025Crystal Palace2 - 1Liverpool
25 May 2025Liverpool1 - 1Crystal Palace
05 Oct 2024Crystal Palace0 - 1Liverpool
14 Apr 2024Liverpool0 - 1Crystal Palace
09 Dec 2023Crystal Palace1 - 2Liverpool
25 Feb 2023Crystal Palace0 - 0Liverpool
15 Aug 2022Liverpool1 - 1Crystal Palace
23 Jan 2022Crystal Palace1 - 3Liverpool
18 Sep 2021Liverpool3 - 0Crystal Palace
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6062.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5322.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home5.4418.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC