| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 61% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Titouan Droguet | Dino Prizmic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1863 | 1843 |
| Surface Elo | 1863 | 1843 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Dino Prizmic | 1 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |