OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Dundee United 1.60 3 - 2 1.60 Aberdeen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.4%47%+3.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 77.7%75%+2.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 67.1%64%+2.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.1%48%+4.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 51.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson42.9%27.1%30.1%
xgboost51.3%26.8%21.9%
logistic52.7%26.9%20.4%
Inputs the models saw
Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Elo (pre-match)16441589
Surface Elo16441589
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.60
Form trend-0.40-0.10
Season points per game1.331.22
Season goals for / game1.221.11
Season goals against / game1.331.11
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Dundee United: last 5
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
26 SepAForfar1 - 2L
Aberdeen: last 5
17 OctHSt Mirren3 - 1W
17 OctHSt Mirren3 - 1W
13 OctAElgin1 - 0W
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
Head to head
09 May 2026Aberdeen2 - 0Dundee United
24 Feb 2026Dundee United0 - 0Aberdeen
27 Dec 2025Aberdeen1 - 1Dundee United
23 Sep 2025Dundee United2 - 0Aberdeen
17 May 2025Dundee United2 - 1Aberdeen
02 Mar 2025Aberdeen2 - 2Dundee United
29 Dec 2024Dundee United1 - 0Aberdeen
26 Oct 2024Aberdeen1 - 0Dundee United
04 Mar 2023Dundee United1 - 3Aberdeen
12 Nov 2022Aberdeen1 - 0Dundee United
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.7027.0%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7027.0%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.8653.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.3929.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1446.7%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7656.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC