| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 62.0% | 50% | +12.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| logistic | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Federico Cina | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Alexandre Muller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Ziga Sesko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | Federico Cina |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Alexandre Muller | 2 - 0 | Federico Cina |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |