| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Ajax | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1682 | 1356 |
| Surface Elo | 1682 | 1356 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | A | For Sittard | 5 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Telstar | 4 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 09 Aug | A | Zwolle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | A | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Excelsior | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Nijmegen | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Aug | A | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 - 4 | L |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Willem II | 1 - 2 | Ajax |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Ajax | 1 - 0 | Willem II |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Willem II | 0 - 1 | Ajax |
| 02 Dec 2021 | Ajax | 5 - 0 | Willem II |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Ajax | 3 - 1 | Willem II |
| 23 Dec 2020 | Willem II | 1 - 1 | Ajax |
| 06 Dec 2019 | Ajax | 0 - 2 | Willem II |
| 06 Apr 2019 | Willem II | 1 - 4 | Ajax |
| 03 Nov 2018 | Ajax | 2 - 0 | Willem II |
| 24 Dec 2017 | Ajax | 3 - 1 | Willem II |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 21.00 | 4.8% | 15 Sep 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 9.50 | 10.5% | 15 Sep 19:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 15 Sep 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.22 | 82.0% | 15 Sep 19:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.20 | 23.8% | 15 Sep 19:00 |