| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 60% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| logistic | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1760 | 1801 |
| Surface Elo | 1760 | 1801 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Bu Yunchaokete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 28 Sep 06:15 |