| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.7% | 78% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| logistic | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Michael Zheng | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1749 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1749 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 30 | 50 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Jul | A | Jakub Mensik | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Mark Lajal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | Trevor Svajda |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.35 | 29.8% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 17 Sep 06:15 |