| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.8% | 52% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.5% | 42.4% |
| logistic | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Harry Wendelken | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.93 | 51.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |