OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-05
🎾 ATP Challenger Wuning 3, China Men Singles · Monday 05 October 2026, 06:10 UTC · finished
Luca Castelnuovo 0.60 1 - 2 0.60 Akira Santillan
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 52.4%55%-2.5%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov44.7%55.3%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost55.3%44.6%
logistic45.4%54.6%
Inputs the models saw
Luca CastelnuovoAkira Santillan
Elo (pre-match)14311495
Surface Elo14311495
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game0.000.00
Season goals against / game2.002.00
Rest days126
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Luca Castelnuovo: last 5
22 SepHPavel Kotov1 - 2L
16 SepAElias Ymer0 - 2L
14 SepAElias Ymer0 - 2L
14 SepHOmar Jasika2 - 1W
07 SepAIlya Ivashka0 - 2L
Akira Santillan: last 5
29 SepHLuka Pavlovic0 - 2L
29 SepHLuka Pavlovic0 - 2L
16 SepAPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepHPavel Kotov0 - 2L
14 SepHYaojie Zeng2 - 0W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8254.9%04 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9252.1%04 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:16 UTC