| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 39.8% | 42% | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.5% | 82% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 57% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 52% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.7% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| xgboost | 36.8% | 31.4% | 31.8% |
| logistic | 35.1% | 26.6% | 38.3% |
| Alloa | Airdrie Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1409 | 1445 |
| Surface Elo | 1409 | 1445 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Clydebank FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Peterhead | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Peterhead | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Queen of the South FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Queen of Sth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Cove Rangers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Ross County | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | East Kilbride | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Oct | H | Montrose | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Airdrie Utd | 1 - 0 | Alloa |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Alloa | 0 - 1 | Airdrie Utd |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Airdrie Utd | 4 - 0 | Alloa |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Alloa | 2 - 0 | Airdrie Utd |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 0 | Alloa |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Alloa | 0 - 2 | Airdrie Utd |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Airdrie Utd | 3 - 1 | Alloa |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Alloa | 2 - 1 | Airdrie Utd |
| 14 Sep 2021 | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 1 | Alloa |
| 20 Mar 2018 | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 2 | Alloa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 07 Nov 15:00 |