OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Alloa 0.60 2 - 3 0.80 Airdrie Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 39.8%42%-1.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 72.5%82%-9.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 54.1%57%-2.6%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.3%52%+0.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.7%29.6%29.6%
xgboost36.8%31.4%31.8%
logistic35.1%26.6%38.3%
Inputs the models saw
AlloaAirdrie Utd
Elo (pre-match)14091445
Surface Elo14091445
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.80
Form trend0.000.70
Season points per game0.921.00
Season goals for / game1.000.77
Season goals against / game1.231.54
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Alloa: last 5
03 NovAClydebank FC0 - 1L
31 OctAPeterhead1 - 2L
31 OctAPeterhead1 - 2L
24 OctHQueen of the South FC0 - 1L
24 OctHQueen of Sth0 - 1L
Airdrie Utd: last 5
31 OctHCove Rangers0 - 1L
24 OctARoss County0 - 4L
17 OctHHamilton1 - 2L
10 OctAEast Kilbride2 - 2D
03 OctHMontrose1 - 0W
Head to head
12 Sep 2026Airdrie Utd1 - 0Alloa
01 Apr 2023Alloa0 - 1Airdrie Utd
28 Jan 2023Airdrie Utd4 - 0Alloa
15 Oct 2022Alloa2 - 0Airdrie Utd
20 Aug 2022Airdrie Utd2 - 0Alloa
05 Mar 2022Alloa0 - 2Airdrie Utd
26 Dec 2021Airdrie Utd3 - 1Alloa
30 Oct 2021Alloa2 - 1Airdrie Utd
14 Sep 2021Airdrie Utd2 - 1Alloa
20 Mar 2018Airdrie Utd2 - 2Alloa
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2045.5%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9551.3%07 Nov 15:00
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC