| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 53% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 79% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.4% | 71% | -8.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 53% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.2% | 28.5% | 37.3% |
| xgboost | 38.1% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 28.6% | 26.4% |
| Fleetwood Town | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Newport County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Walsall | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Gillingham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Rochdale |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Rochdale | 2 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Rochdale | 2 - 3 | Fleetwood Town |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 1 | Rochdale |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 18 Aug 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Rochdale |
| 20 Mar 2018 | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 14 Oct 2017 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Rochdale |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |