| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.7% | 75% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.7% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 80.5% | 19.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Malaika Rapolu | Diletta Cherubini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1632 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1632 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.47 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.76 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.59 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Diletta Cherubini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Victoria Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Johnson, Sofia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Julia Garcia Ruiz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Malaika Rapolu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Ipek Oz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Alize Lim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Diletta Cherubini | 0 - 2 | Malaika Rapolu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |