| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.2% | 43% | +8.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Matteo Martineau | Justin Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1493 | 1468 |
| Surface Elo | 1493 | 1468 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 35 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Johannus Monday | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 21 Sep 06:15 |