| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 60% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| logistic | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Erik Arutiunian | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1452 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1452 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 26 | 26 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Spencer Johnson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Joshua Sheehy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Samir Banerjee | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Kenta Miyoshi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |