| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.7% | 93% | -5.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 94.4% | 5.5% |
| logistic | 82.1% | 17.9% |
| Juan Bautista Torres | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1345 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1345 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Ryan Nijboer | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Souza, Andre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Mateo Del Pino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Hernan Casanova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | Wilson Leite |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.50 | 15.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.08 | 92.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |