| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.3% | 95% | -22.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 91.3% | 100% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 89.4% | 100% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 87% | -26.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 92.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 23.9% | 19.4% |
| logistic | 85.1% | 11.9% | 2.9% |
| Bayern München | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1931 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1931 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Freiburg | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Freiburg | 3 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Arsenal | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | RB Leipzig | 6 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | RB Leipzig | 6 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruhe | 6 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruher SC | 6 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hannover | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 41.71 | 2.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 18.20 | 5.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.14 | 87.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 6.10 | 16.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |