| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.2% | 63% | -9.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.8% | 41.1% |
| logistic | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Keegan Rice | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 83 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Jul | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Rio Noguchi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Michiel De Krom | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Perez socas, Roberto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Gerard Campana Lee | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |