OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Holstein Kiel 1.00 1 - 2 2.00 Bielefeld
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 41.3%41%+0.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.6%77%-3.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.3%56%-0.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 59.4%50%+9.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 56.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.4%25.2%30.4%
xgboost38.8%28.9%32.4%
logistic34.6%29.4%36.1%
Inputs the models saw
Holstein KielBielefeld
Elo (pre-match)14011432
Surface Elo14011432
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.00
Form trend-0.10-0.10
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game0.801.60
Season goals against / game0.601.00
Rest days57
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Holstein Kiel: last 5
01 NovAGreuther Furth0 - 1L
01 NovAGreuther Furth0 - 1L
28 OctHHoffenheim1 - 1D
25 OctHDresden3 - 0W
25 OctHDresden3 - 0W
Bielefeld: last 5
30 OctHBraunschweig3 - 1W
30 OctHBraunschweig3 - 1W
24 OctAHertha Berlin0 - 1L
24 OctAHertha Berlin0 - 1L
18 OctHOsnabruck2 - 1W
Head to head
23 Jan 2026Bielefeld2 - 2Holstein Kiel
10 Aug 2025Holstein Kiel0 - 2Bielefeld
02 Apr 2023Holstein Kiel2 - 3Bielefeld
17 Sep 2022Bielefeld4 - 2Holstein Kiel
30 May 2020Holstein Kiel1 - 2Bielefeld
03 Nov 2019Bielefeld2 - 1Holstein Kiel
19 May 2019Bielefeld1 - 0Holstein Kiel
14 Dec 2018Holstein Kiel1 - 2Bielefeld
01 Apr 2018Bielefeld1 - 1Holstein Kiel
21 Oct 2017Holstein Kiel2 - 1Bielefeld
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7536.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4540.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7955.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC