| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.0% | 68% | -22.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.1% | 83% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.5% | 88% | -27.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 55% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.8% | 26.8% | 36.4% |
| xgboost | 40.1% | 27.4% | 32.6% |
| logistic | 44.6% | 28.6% | 26.8% |
| Quevilly Rouen | Bourg Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1414 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1414 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 868 | 3067 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Amiens | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Sep | A | Caen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | SC Aubagne Air Bel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Versailles 78 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 May | H | St Etienne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Paris FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 May | H | Sochaux | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 May | A | Lorient | 0 - 6 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Brest | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Apr | A | Orleans | 1 - 5 | L |
| 16 Jan 2018 | Bourg Peronnas | 3 - 5 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 11 Aug 2017 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 4 | Bourg Peronnas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.70 | 14.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |