| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 70% | -17.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.9% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1597 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1597 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1 - 2 | Felix Gill |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |