| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.8% | 48% | -4.9% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 80% | -5.5% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.5% | 64% | -9.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 43% | +8.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.1% | 26.1% | 35.8% |
| xgboost | 26.3% | 29.8% | 43.9% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 26.0% | 35.3% |
| Altrincham | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1551 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1551 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.29 | 1.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Manchester United | 6 - 2 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Harrogate | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Harrogate | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Solihull | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Solihull | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Carlisle | 3 - 1 | Altrincham |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Altrincham | 1 - 2 | Carlisle |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |