OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Plymouth 2.40 0 - 2 1.20 Huddersfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.0%37%+10.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.3%77%-2.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 62.8%51%+11.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.9%61%-0.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson45.5%24.3%30.2%
xgboost38.1%35.2%26.6%
logistic45.5%25.9%28.7%
Inputs the models saw
PlymouthHuddersfield
Elo (pre-match)15971545
Surface Elo15971545
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.20
Form trend0.00-0.20
Season points per game2.251.33
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game1.001.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 1 D
Plymouth: last 5
12 OctABournemouth1 - 6L
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2 - 1W
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2 - 1W
06 OctANewport County2 - 2D
03 OctALeyton Orient2 - 0W
Huddersfield: last 5
10 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 2D
10 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 2D
06 OctHRochdale5 - 0W
03 OctABurton3 - 1W
03 OctABurton3 - 1W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Plymouth3 - 1Huddersfield
08 Nov 2025Huddersfield3 - 1Plymouth
13 Jan 2024Huddersfield1 - 1Plymouth
05 Aug 2023Plymouth3 - 1Huddersfield
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6537.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6560.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC