| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 48% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| logistic | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1477 | 1559 |
| Surface Elo | 1477 | 1559 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Noma Noha Akugue | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Carole Monnet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Cagla Buyukakcay | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Dalma Galfi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Suzan Lamens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Erika Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Zaytseva, Ksenia | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |