| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.0% | 69% | -2.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.4% | 68.5% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1680 | 1808 |
| Surface Elo | 1680 | 1808 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Janice Tjen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Jasmine Paolini | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Daria Snigur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | Elise Mertens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |