| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.4% | 74% | -14.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Axel Garcian | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1433 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1433 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Stefan Seifert | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Alexey Vatutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | Arthur Bouquier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Boutleux, Noah | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Roan Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Clerc, Damien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Alberto Barroso Campos | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |