OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ National League · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Forest Green 0.60 2 - 0 0.80 Eastleigh
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.9%65%-8.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.1%88%-8.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 73.3%83%-9.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.1%65%-7.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson58.9%21.5%19.6%
xgboost54.3%19.9%25.8%
logistic60.5%21.9%17.5%
Inputs the models saw
Forest GreenEastleigh
Elo (pre-match)14581396
Surface Elo14581396
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.80
Form trend0.10-0.50
Season points per game1.251.29
Season goals for / game1.581.29
Season goals against / game1.831.57
Rest days184
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W0 W · 0 D
Forest Green: last 5
20 OctHChesham United5 - 0W
17 OctAChesham United0 - 0D
10 OctHHartlepool2 - 4L
10 OctHHartlepool2 - 4L
29 SepHWealdstone1 - 1D
Eastleigh: last 5
24 OctHBoston Utd4 - 2W
24 OctHBoston Utd4 - 2W
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
03 OctHWoking1 - 3L
Head to head
28 Mar 2026Eastleigh2 - 4Forest Green
25 Aug 2025Forest Green1 - 0Eastleigh
08 Feb 2025Forest Green2 - 1Eastleigh
05 Oct 2024Eastleigh1 - 3Forest Green
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.5018.2%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw4.1024.4%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home1.5365.4%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.5040.0%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away5.1019.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.4022.7%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5564.5%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5365.4%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC