| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.6% | 77% | -18.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.8% | 30.1% |
| logistic | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Rebecca Sramkova | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Claire Liu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jodie Burrage | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Diana Shnaider | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Zhuoxuan Bai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Alevtina Ibragimova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Wu, Ru Xi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |