| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.3% | 65% | -3.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 68.4% | 31.5% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1668 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1668 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 15 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Billy Harris | 2 - 1 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 22 Sep 06:15 |