OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-06
⚽ England EFL Trophy · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Crawley Town 0.20 4 - 0 0.80 Bromley
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 49.8%49%+1.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.2%81%-4.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 62.7%65%-1.9%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.4%66%-7.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson29.8%26.4%43.7%
xgboost33.0%21.4%45.6%
logistic33.0%28.7%38.3%
Inputs the models saw
Crawley TownBromley
Elo (pre-match)13191512
Surface Elo13191512
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend0.10-0.70
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game4.001.00
Rest days1717
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 0 D
Crawley Town: last 5
22 SepAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 4L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
12 SepHCheltenham1 - 3L
05 SepAAccrington2 - 3L
Bromley: last 5
22 SepHBrentford0 - 1L
19 SepHHuddersfield2 - 1W
19 SepHHuddersfield2 - 1W
12 SepABlackpool2 - 2D
07 SepHAFC Wimbledon0 - 2L
Head to head
29 Dec 2025Crawley Town1 - 3Bromley
09 Dec 2025Bromley3 - 1Crawley Town
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1047.6%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1032.3%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5265.8%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC