| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.8% | 77% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| logistic | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Alexander Ritschard | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1676 | 1533 |
| Surface Elo | 1676 | 1533 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Iannis Miletich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Sebastian Ofner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Roberto Carballes Baena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Jan | H | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Jan | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Palomar, Xavi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Leonid Sheyngezikht | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |