| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.0% | 52% | +22.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.5% | 24.5% |
| logistic | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Daniel Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1819 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1819 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 682 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Daniel Merida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Nov | H | Jelle Sels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Nov | H | Eric Vanshelboim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.96 | 51.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.89 | 52.9% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.98 | 50.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.04 | 49.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.00 | 50.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.81 | 55.2% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.94 | 51.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.97 | 50.8% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Botic van de Zandschulp | 2.06 | 48.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.04 | 49.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.93 | 51.8% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.96 | 51.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.77 | 56.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.80 | 55.6% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.93 | 51.8% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.75 | 57.1% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.94 | 51.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.94 | 51.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.94 | 51.5% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.92 | 52.1% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Botic van de Zandschulp | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.88 | 53.2% | 08 Oct 06:01 |