| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.4% | 55% | -4.8% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.0% | 82% | -4.0% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.9% | 74% | -6.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 52% | +1.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.3% | 29.0% | 27.7% |
| xgboost | 47.1% | 28.7% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 25.1% | 18.8% |
| Swansea | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1542 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1542 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | QPR | 0 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | QPR | 0 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | West Ham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | West Ham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Wrexham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Wrexham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | West Brom | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | West Brom | 2 - 3 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 3 - 1 | Blackburn |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Blackburn | 1 - 2 | Swansea |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Swansea | 3 - 0 | Blackburn |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Blackburn | 1 - 0 | Swansea |
| 02 Mar 2024 | Swansea | 2 - 1 | Blackburn |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Blackburn | 0 - 1 | Swansea |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Blackburn | 1 - 0 | Swansea |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Swansea | 0 - 3 | Blackburn |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Swansea | 1 - 0 | Blackburn |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Blackburn | 2 - 1 | Swansea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.95 | 51.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |