OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-09-27

NFL · Sunday 27 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Washington Commanders – 33 - 31 – Seattle Seahawks

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	70.5%	79%	-8.2%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	29.5%	70.5%

Inputs the models saw

	Washington Commanders	Seattle Seahawks
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.41
form diff	-0.75
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-1.46
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-09-26T17:00:00+00:00

Washington Commanders: last 5

20 Sep	A	Dallas Cowboys	20 - 37	L
13 Sep	A	Philadelphia Eagles	22 - 24	L
04 Jan	A	Philadelphia Eagles	24 - 17	W
25 Dec	H	Dallas Cowboys	23 - 30	L
20 Dec	H	Philadelphia Eagles	18 - 29	L

Seattle Seahawks: last 5

20 Sep	A	Arizona Cardinals	31 - 7	W
10 Sep	H	New England Patriots	13 - 10	W
08 Feb	A	New England Patriots	29 - 13	W
25 Jan	H	Los Angeles Rams	31 - 27	W
18 Jan	H	San Francisco 49ers	41 - 6	W

Head to head

03 Nov 2025	Washington Commanders	14 - 38	Seattle Seahawks
12 Nov 2023	Seattle Seahawks	29 - 26	Washington Commanders
30 Nov 2021	Washington Commanders	17 - 15	Seattle Seahawks
20 Dec 2020	Washington Commanders	15 - 20	Seattle Seahawks
05 Nov 2017	Seattle Seahawks	14 - 17	Washington Commanders
07 Oct 2014	Washington Commanders	17 - 27	Seattle Seahawks
06 Jan 2013	Washington Commanders	14 - 24	Seattle Seahawks
27 Nov 2011	Seattle Seahawks	17 - 23	Washington Commanders
23 Nov 2008	Seattle Seahawks	17 - 20	Washington Commanders
05 Jan 2008	Seattle Seahawks	35 - 14	Washington Commanders

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	4.27	23.4%	27 Sep 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.26	79.4%	27 Sep 14:20

Generated 2026-10-30 19:26 UTC