OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-29

⚽ National League · Tuesday 29 September 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished

Hartlepool 0.60 0 - 1 1.80 Harrogate

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Draw	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Hartlepool	Harrogate
Elo (pre-match)	1405	1396
Surface Elo	1405	1396
Form, last 5 (PPG)	0.60	1.80
Form trend	0.60	0.30
Season points per game	0.90	1.90
Season goals for / game	0.80	2.40
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.70
Rest days	3	3
Head-to-head (last 10)	2 W	4 W · 2 D

Hartlepool: last 5

29 Sep	H	Harrogate	0 - 1	L
26 Sep	A	Scunthorpe	1 - 4	L
26 Sep	A	Scunthorpe	1 - 4	L
19 Sep	H	Worthing	1 - 3	L
19 Sep	H	Worthing	1 - 3	L

Harrogate: last 5

29 Sep	A	Hartlepool	1 - 0	W
26 Sep	H	Eastleigh	4 - 1	W
26 Sep	H	Eastleigh	4 - 1	W
19 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1 - 4	L
19 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1 - 4	L

Head to head

29 Sep 2026	Hartlepool	0 - 1	Harrogate
01 Jan 2023	Hartlepool	3 - 3	Harrogate
15 Oct 2022	Harrogate	2 - 1	Hartlepool
05 Mar 2022	Harrogate	1 - 2	Hartlepool
23 Oct 2021	Hartlepool	3 - 2	Harrogate
01 Jan 2020	Hartlepool	0 - 1	Harrogate
26 Dec 2019	Harrogate	4 - 1	Hartlepool
19 Jan 2019	Harrogate	3 - 1	Hartlepool
07 Aug 2018	Hartlepool	2 - 2	Harrogate

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Bet365	1X2	away	1.90	52.6%	29 Sep 19:45
Bet365	1X2	draw	3.50	28.6%	29 Sep 19:45
Bet365	1X2	home	3.30	30.3%	29 Sep 19:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	over	1.65	60.6%	29 Sep 19:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	under	2.20	45.5%	29 Sep 19:45

Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC