| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.5% | 49% | -5.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 80% | -4.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.1% | 66% | -10.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 60% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.2% | 24.8% | 39.0% |
| xgboost | 32.4% | 27.6% | 40.1% |
| logistic | 33.9% | 27.4% | 38.7% |
| Hearts | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1804 | 1846 |
| Surface Elo | 1804 | 1846 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.90 | 2.30 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.20 | 1.70 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Motherwell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Celtic | 1 - 7 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | St Mirren | 5 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Kilmarnock | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Falkirk | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 4 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Dundee | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Dundee | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 1 | W |
| 04 May 2026 | Hearts | 2 - 1 | Rangers |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Rangers | 4 - 2 | Hearts |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Hearts | 2 - 1 | Rangers |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Rangers | 0 - 2 | Hearts |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Hearts | 1 - 3 | Rangers |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Rangers | 1 - 0 | Hearts |
| 03 Aug 2024 | Hearts | 0 - 0 | Rangers |
| 18 May 2024 | Hearts | 3 - 3 | Rangers |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Rangers | 5 - 0 | Hearts |
| 06 Dec 2023 | Hearts | 0 - 1 | Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 28 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 28 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 28 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 28 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 28 Oct 20:00 |