| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.8% | 52% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.0% | 79% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.2% | 70% | -2.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 50% | +2.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.2% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
| xgboost | 52.0% | 23.9% | 24.1% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 23.8% | 20.3% |
| Altrincham | Kidderminster | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1515 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1515 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Manchester United | 6 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Solihull | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Kidderminster | 1 - 3 | Altrincham |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Altrincham | 1 - 1 | Kidderminster |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |