| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.7% | 54% | -3.5% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.8% | 81% | -1.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.9% | 72% | -3.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 45% | +12.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.7% | 23.6% | 21.7% |
| xgboost | 47.2% | 32.1% | 20.7% |
| logistic | 45.9% | 28.9% | 25.1% |
| Bielefeld | Braunschweig | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1420 | 1389 |
| Surface Elo | 1420 | 1389 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 4 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Hannover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Hannover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Greuther Furth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Greuther Furth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Bielefeld | 3 - 2 | Braunschweig |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Braunschweig | 1 - 1 | Bielefeld |
| 05 Mar 2023 | Braunschweig | 3 - 3 | Bielefeld |
| 26 Aug 2022 | Bielefeld | 4 - 1 | Braunschweig |
| 20 Apr 2018 | Braunschweig | 0 - 0 | Bielefeld |
| 17 Nov 2017 | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | Braunschweig |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |