| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.8% | 63% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| logistic | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1643 | 1419 |
| Surface Elo | 1643 | 1419 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrea Guerrieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Olle Wallin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ioannis Xilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 18 Oct 06:15 |