| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.4% | 84% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 24.9% | 75.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.1% | 76.8% |
| logistic | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| Stan Wawrinka | Jiri Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1679 | 1973 |
| Surface Elo | 1679 | 1973 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Flavio Cobolli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Raphael Collignon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Raphael Collignon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.00 | 20.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |