OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Wigan 0.80 1 - 0 1.60 Reading
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.1%53%-2.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.8%80%-3.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.8%70%-5.6%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.1%60%-3.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.6%27.4%41.0%
xgboost28.3%20.4%51.3%
logistic23.6%27.4%49.0%
Inputs the models saw
WiganReading
Elo (pre-match)14051535
Surface Elo14051535
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.60
Form trend0.60-0.40
Season points per game0.501.67
Season goals for / game0.632.44
Season goals against / game1.631.22
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Wigan: last 5
10 OctAStevenage0 - 1L
10 OctAStevenage0 - 1L
22 SepHBlackpool3 - 2W
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
Reading: last 5
13 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
09 OctHNorwich2 - 3L
03 OctHBradford1 - 1D
Head to head
28 Mar 2026Reading3 - 0Wigan
10 Feb 2026Wigan1 - 2Reading
01 Mar 2025Wigan1 - 2Reading
17 Aug 2024Reading2 - 0Wigan
20 Jan 2024Wigan1 - 0Reading
23 Dec 2023Reading2 - 0Wigan
29 Apr 2023Reading1 - 1Wigan
17 Sep 2022Wigan0 - 1Reading
26 Feb 2020Reading0 - 3Wigan
30 Nov 2019Wigan1 - 3Reading
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.7158.5%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.2023.8%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8952.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8026.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.8026.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6759.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC