| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.1% | 61% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| logistic | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| Marcos Giron | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1852 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1852 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Luca Van Assche | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Aug | A | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Marcos Giron | 1 - 2 | Yannick Hanfmann |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Marcos Giron | 0 - 2 | Yannick Hanfmann |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Marcos Giron | 3 - 1 | Yannick Hanfmann |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |