OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
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🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · scheduled
Napoli 1.80 17:00 1.00 Bologna
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.0%56%-2.6%
DCHome or away selected76.7%73%+3.3%
DNBHome (DNB) 69.1%73%-3.4%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.5%48%+14.9%
BTTSBTTS yes 63.5%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.4%25.0%30.9%
xgboost63.2%17.7%19.1%
logistic52.4%26.5%21.1%
Inputs the models saw
NapoliBologna
Elo (pre-match)16961572
Surface Elo16961572
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.00
Form trend0.900.50
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Napoli: last 5
05 SepAInter2 - 3L
30 AugHComo1 - 2L
22 AugAGenoa2 - 0W
24 MayHUdinese1 - 0W
17 MayAPisa3 - 0W
Bologna: last 5
06 SepHSassuolo2 - 2D
31 AugAAtalanta0 - 1L
24 AugHLazio0 - 1L
23 MayHInter3 - 3D
17 MayAAtalanta1 - 0W
Head to head
11 May 2026Napoli2 - 3Bologna
09 Nov 2025Bologna2 - 0Napoli
07 Apr 2025Bologna1 - 1Napoli
25 Aug 2024Napoli3 - 0Bologna
11 May 2024Napoli0 - 2Bologna
24 Sep 2023Bologna0 - 0Napoli
28 May 2023Bologna2 - 2Napoli
16 Oct 2022Napoli3 - 2Bologna
17 Jan 2022Bologna0 - 2Napoli
28 Oct 2021Napoli3 - 0Bologna
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.7521.1%13 Sep 19:39
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%13 Sep 19:39
Bet3651X2home1.8055.6%13 Sep 19:39
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%13 Sep 19:39
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7357.8%13 Sep 19:39
Generated 2026-09-14 00:14 UTC