| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.6% | 63% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.0% | 87% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.3% | 81% | -14.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 58% | +0.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.7% | 27.1% | 26.2% |
| xgboost | 49.1% | 30.6% | 20.4% |
| logistic | 50.2% | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| Port Vale | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1365 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1365 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Rochdale | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Rochdale | 4 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Manchester City | 5 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | York | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | York | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tamworth | 1 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tamworth | 1 - 4 | L |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Port Vale | 1 - 0 | Scunthorpe |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Scunthorpe | 0 - 1 | Port Vale |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | Port Vale |
| 17 Nov 2020 | Port Vale | 0 - 1 | Scunthorpe |
| 29 Feb 2020 | Port Vale | 2 - 2 | Scunthorpe |
| 23 Nov 2019 | Scunthorpe | 2 - 1 | Port Vale |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |