| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.7% | 44% | -0.7% | |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 79% | -2.3% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.5% | 59% | -4.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 65% | -5.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.3% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.3% | 23.6% | 34.1% |
| xgboost | 31.2% | 23.7% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 32.5% | 28.2% | 39.4% |
| Darmstadt | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Elversberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | St Pauli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | St Pauli | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Karlsruhe | 0 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Karlsruher SC | 0 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Bayern München | 1 - 6 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruhe | 6 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruher SC | 6 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Dresden | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | Darmstadt |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Darmstadt | 0 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Magdeburg | 4 - 1 | Darmstadt |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Darmstadt | 1 - 2 | Magdeburg |
| 19 May 2023 | Darmstadt | 1 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 10 Nov 2022 | Magdeburg | 0 - 1 | Darmstadt |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Magdeburg | 0 - 1 | Darmstadt |
| 03 Nov 2018 | Darmstadt | 3 - 1 | Magdeburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |