| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 54% | -3.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.0% | 81% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.5% | 73% | -6.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 53% | +7.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 27.7% | 21.4% |
| xgboost | 50.0% | 23.1% | 26.9% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 26.5% | 26.8% |
| Torino | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 2.20 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Como | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Como | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Monza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Genoa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Genoa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Frosinone | 1 - 5 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Frosinone | 1 - 5 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Torino | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Lecce | 2 - 1 | Torino |
| 18 May 2025 | Lecce | 1 - 0 | Torino |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Torino | 0 - 0 | Lecce |
| 16 Feb 2024 | Torino | 2 - 0 | Lecce |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Lecce | 0 - 1 | Torino |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Lecce | 0 - 2 | Torino |
| 05 Sep 2022 | Torino | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 02 Feb 2020 | Lecce | 4 - 0 | Torino |
| 16 Sep 2019 | Torino | 1 - 2 | Lecce |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.61 | 21.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.78 | 26.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |