| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 48% | +7.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1748 | 1689 |
| Surface Elo | 1748 | 1689 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Jie Cui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Jie Cui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Gael Monfils | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Matthew Dellavedova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |