| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.0% | 38% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.2% | 82% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.6% | 50% | +6.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 76% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 65.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.2% | 27.6% | 38.2% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 38.4% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 27.8% | 37.5% |
| Volendam | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1484 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1484 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 152 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Rohda Raalte | 8 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Vitesse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Almere City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Almere City | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | VVV Venlo | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 - 3 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 - 3 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | BVV Barendrecht | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hoek | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Heerenveen | 0 - 4 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 - 0 | Volendam |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Volendam | 0 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 - 0 | Volendam |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Volendam | 1 - 4 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 13 May 2023 | Volendam | 2 - 1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | Volendam |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.32 | 75.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |